Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.280997 0.327455 0.378889 0.440016 0.510644 0.589651 0.684707
2025-03-23 0.215535 0.280926 0.361359 0.467370 0.603224 0.771292 0.994838
2025-03-30 0.165734 0.234325 0.325376 0.454665 0.633100 0.870239 1.208877
2025-04-06 0.132087 0.199698 0.295243 0.439446 0.650848 0.948595 1.398895
2025-04-13 0.108097 0.173285 0.270570 0.425385 0.664517 1.018603 1.581183
2025-04-20 0.094070 0.158872 0.260379 0.429677 0.703522 1.127262 1.830291
2025-04-27 0.086662 0.153415 0.262640 0.452654 0.772969 1.288490 2.177426
2025-05-04 0.078744 0.145679 0.259761 0.466182 0.827779 1.431353 2.509943
2025-05-11 0.070650 0.136280 0.252536 0.470846 0.867349 1.552244 2.817795
2025-05-18 0.062798 0.126061 0.242318 0.468471 0.893547 1.651974 3.098386
2025-05-25 0.055589 0.115944 0.230829 0.461983 0.910909 1.736974 3.360402
2025-06-01 0.049737 0.107603 0.221515 0.458196 0.932372 1.830793 3.647337
2025-06-08 0.042982 0.096583 0.205829 0.440477 0.925887 1.873671 3.846779
2025-06-15 0.041611 0.096780 0.212823 0.469673 1.016615 2.113895 4.459039
2025-06-22 0.036627 0.088295 0.200590 0.457011 1.019634 2.180410 4.729375
2025-06-29 0.032104 0.080150 0.187960 0.441722 1.014952 2.230161 4.969589
2025-07-06 0.028262 0.073004 0.176560 0.427591 1.010845 2.280157 5.214872
2025-07-13 0.026129 0.069674 0.173423 0.431905 1.048401 2.423101 5.676886
2025-07-20 0.025357 0.069646 0.178030 0.454997 1.131750 2.675060 6.407675
2025-07-27 0.024065 0.068074 0.178691 0.468593 1.194178 2.886103 7.066679
2025-08-03 0.022403 0.065267 0.175917 0.473280 1.235528 3.052641 7.638791
2025-08-10 0.020558 0.061671 0.170644 0.470893 1.258945 3.179037 8.127625
2025-08-17 0.018712 0.057787 0.164111 0.464372 1.271081 3.279418 8.563328